Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 324.032433 368.586626 418.604472 479.217071 551.080748 634.057972 737.831608
2025-01-19 245.966907 300.146243 366.601559 455.205782 571.916923 722.801982 936.646821
2025-01-26 218.992490 280.511233 360.804265 475.523244 639.019159 869.774608 1231.717196
2025-02-02 202.839575 270.284180 362.933299 503.262941 717.391430 1044.248240 1607.423462
2025-02-09 182.983421 251.375906 349.153327 504.291082 754.535779 1162.348591 1924.306015
2025-02-16 163.499204 230.153843 328.562787 490.755974 764.785094 1236.962866 2184.101724
2025-02-23 148.299082 213.307239 312.074442 480.542607 777.520290 1316.607709 2474.138773
2025-03-02 140.379811 206.497339 310.009400 493.121032 831.031036 1480.567391 2986.634301
2025-03-09 131.110814 196.523926 301.558192 493.235466 861.276711 1605.461153 3455.656835
2025-03-16 121.185831 184.513464 288.376207 482.971608 869.547432 1686.459937 3847.973791
2025-03-23 114.449723 177.092507 282.111991 484.370611 900.917502 1823.977991 4439.943378
2025-03-30 106.744314 167.373259 270.874025 474.833856 907.837886 1907.165965 4914.834811
2025-04-06 100.602142 160.006805 263.420895 472.369545 931.064608 2038.933281 5611.043673
2025-04-13 92.109025 147.944445 246.469374 449.040212 904.341684 2040.298800 5891.708155
2025-04-20 90.197761 147.315884 250.462349 469.005554 980.817233 2333.344716 7357.374552
2025-04-27 89.235403 148.276457 257.482695 496.272479 1080.504909 2723.975208 9489.243860
2025-05-04 85.282614 143.419986 252.775914 497.282948 1114.556010 2932.068892 11016.708952
2025-05-11 80.126701 135.950213 242.269888 483.979608 1108.791922 3013.872161 12018.961516
2025-05-18 75.740192 129.648784 233.607484 473.940137 1110.268012 3121.261435 13253.054144
2025-05-25 73.901577 128.092016 234.456065 486.304276 1176.610233 3475.910451 16230.359096
2025-06-01 71.033469 124.333893 230.416649 486.416754 1207.875226 3716.260927 18805.265101
2025-06-08 67.467085 118.977655 222.594823 476.327859 1206.989187 3834.556984 20709.392029
2025-06-15 65.137235 115.936241 219.480035 477.703065 1241.761240 4110.295982 24181.919147